Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.48)
0.65 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4% | 20.4% | 11.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
2 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Pho Hien | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Thanh Hóa | 0 | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.1% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Thanh Hóa -0.4, Pho Hien -21.6.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Thanh Hóa
vs
Pho Hien
Elo gapPho Hien +15
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo2897.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2897.7
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Thanh Hóa | Pho Hien |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1424.1 | 1473.6 |
| Form Elo | 1432.4 | 1453.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1459.6 | 1484.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1451.1 | 1461.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1462.6 | 1493.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -0.4 | -21.6 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Thanh Hóa last-5 Elo change: -0.4; Pho Hien last-5 Elo change: -21.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Thanh Hóa | Pho Hien |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 42% | 17% |
| Defense | 67% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Thanh Hóa | Pho Hien | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 11% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| Draws | 56% | 30% | 42% | 60% | 11% | 37% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 42% | 30% | 78% | 53% |
Thanh HóaDLLDLDDWLDDWLDLLWLD
Pho HienWLLDDDDLLLDLWLLLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Thanh Hóa | Pho Hien | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 12 | 16 | 28 | 15 | 20 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Thanh Hóa | Pho Hien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 89% | 63% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 37% | 26% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 16% | 0% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Thanh Hóa | Pho Hien | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Thanh Hóa | Pho Hien |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Thanh Hóa | Pho Hien |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Thanh Hóa | Pho Hien |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 72.2% | 28.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…