Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.67 (league 2.15)
2.34 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.4% | 18.1% | 32.1% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.5%
3 - 2
5.8%
2 - 1
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Energie Cottbus U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hamburger SV U19 | 0 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Energie Cottbus U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 23 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Hamburger SV U19 -19.5, Energie Cottbus U19 +52.9.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Hamburger SV U19
vs
Energie Cottbus U19
Elo gapEnergie Cottbus U19 +23
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo3174.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3174.7
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | Hamburger SV U19 | Energie Cottbus U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1558.2 | 1616.5 |
| Form Elo | 1545.3 | 1644.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1517.2 | 1537.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1618.3 | 1715.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1446.2 | 1415.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -19.5 | +52.9 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Hamburger SV U19 last-5 Elo change: -19.5; Energie Cottbus U19 last-5 Elo change: +52.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hamburger SV U19 | Energie Cottbus U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 100% |
| Attack | 45% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
62%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hamburger SV U19 | Energie Cottbus U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 60% | 64% | 62% | 75% | 55% | 65% |
| Draws | 10% | 18% | 14% | 17% | 9% | 13% |
| Loses | 30% | 18% | 24% | 8% | 36% | 22% |
Hamburger SV U19WWWWWWWWWDWWWLDLLLLWD
Energie Cottbus U19WWLWDWWDWLWLWWLWLDWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Hamburger SV U19 | Energie Cottbus U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 25 | 49 | 34 | 25 | 59 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 18 | 17 | 35 | 16 | 26 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hamburger SV U19 | Energie Cottbus U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 86% | 96% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 52% | 61% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 14% | 43% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 10% | 26% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 5% | 13% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hamburger SV U19 | Energie Cottbus U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hamburger SV U19 | Energie Cottbus U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hamburger SV U19 | Energie Cottbus U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-4 | 8-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hamburger SV U19 | Energie Cottbus U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21% | 79% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 52% | 48% |
| Total | 39.2% | 60.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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