Dynamo Dresden U19 vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19

U19 Bundesliga — Germany

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

home	draw	away
70.6%	9.8%	6.0%

		Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
Dynamo Dresden U19	0	1.3%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
1	4.4%	4.0%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
2	7.6%	6.9%	3.1%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
3	8.7%	8.0%	3.6%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	7.5%	6.9%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
5	5.2%	4.7%	2.2%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

Home strong edge

Dynamo Dresden U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 161 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dynamo Dresden U19 0.0, Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 -21.6.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone

Dynamo Dresden U19 Elo 1483.9 · 0.0

Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 Elo 1357.7 · -21.6

Elo gapDynamo Dresden U19 +161

Home / draw / away59% / 18% / 23%

Expected home share72%

Combined Elo2841.6

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home strong edge

Confidence band Strong confidence

Upset risk Low

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2841.6

Elo home share 72%

Match tone Heavy Favorite

Metric	Dynamo Dresden U19	Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
Overall Elo	1483.9	1357.7
Form Elo	1488.3	1346.8
Home / Away Elo	1530.4	1436.6
Attack Elo	1658	1379.1
Defense Elo	1321.3	1153.1
Last 5 Elo change	0.0	-21.6

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Dynamo Dresden U19 last-5 Elo change: 0.0; Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 last-5 Elo change: -21.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Dynamo Dresden U19	Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
Played	5	5
Form	60%	20%
Attack	100%	36%
Defense	18%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	13 \| 2.6	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	15 \| 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

84%

FT probability

3.5+

60%

FT probability

BTTS

81%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Dynamo Dresden U19			Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	11	12	23	11	10	21
Wins	45%	33%	39%	18%	10%	14%
Draws	9%	0%	4%	18%	20%	19%
Loses	45%	67%	57%	64%	70%	67%

Dynamo Dresden U19LLLWLLDWWLLLLLWLWWWLWWL

Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19WLLLLLLLDLLLDWDDLLLLW

League goals

Metric	Dynamo Dresden U19			Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	26	18	44	14	7	21
GF avg	2.4	1.5	1.9	1.3	0.7	1.0
GA total	25	34	59	26	31	57
GA avg	2.3	2.8	2.6	2.4	3.1	2.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Dynamo Dresden U19		Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	96%	83%	67%	90%
1.5	52%	61%	33%	71%
2.5	35%	48%	0%	43%
3.5	9%	30%	0%	29%
4.5	0%	22%	0%	24%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Dynamo Dresden U19			Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	2	4	0	2	2
Failed to score	0	1	1	2	5	7

Penalties

Metric	Dynamo Dresden U19	Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Streaks

Metric	Dynamo Dresden U19	Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
Wins	3	1
Draws	1	2
Losses	5	7

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-3	2-1	0-1
Biggest losses	1-6	6-1	0-7	6-1
Goals For	4	3	2	2
Goals Against	6	6	7	6

Model comparison

Metric	Dynamo Dresden U19	Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
Form	75%	25%
Att	76%	24%
Def	63%	38%
Poisson Distribution	79%	21%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	68.3%	31.8%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Dynamo Dresden U19 vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19

Metric	Dynamo Dresden U19	Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Dynamo Dresden U19 vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19