Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 16:30 • Wembley Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.53) 0.45 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.4% 52.7% 27.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
45.6%
0 - 1
20.6%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 45.6% 20.6% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.2% 6.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenalManchester City
Played55
Form100%100%
Attack67%80%
Defense80%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Manchester City
HATHAT
Played325235
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Arsenal: WWWWW • Manchester City: WWWWW

League goals

Metric Arsenal Manchester City
HATHAT
GF total55105712
GF avg1.72.52.02.52.32.4
GA total123112
GA avg0.31.00.60.50.30.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenalManchester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%100%40%
1.580%20%100%0%
2.520%0%40%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenalManchester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricArsenalManchester City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricArsenalManchester City
Wins55
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-11-3
Biggest losses
Goals For2333
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricArsenalManchester City
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h75%25%
Goals69%31%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ 188Bet
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away3.34 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.14 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal = 0.33 (league 1.53), Manchester City = 0.45 (league 1.53)

Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 45.6% 20.6% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.2% 6.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.4% · Draw 52.7% · Away win 27.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1