3. Division
— Cyprus
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.41)
0.36 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.1% | 25.7% | 8.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.6%
2 - 0
17.4%
0 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Anorthosis Mouttagiakas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ermis | 0 | 16.1% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.4% | 6.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ermis | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 35% | 65% |
| Defense | 82% | 41% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ermis | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 58% | 55% | 57% | 42% | 27% | 35% |
| Draws | 25% | 36% | 30% | 0% | 27% | 13% |
| Loses | 17% | 9% | 13% | 58% | 45% | 52% |
Form: Ermis: DDWWWDWDWWDDWWWWWLDWLLW • Anorthosis Mouttagiakas: LDLLWDWWLWWWLLDLLLLWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Ermis | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 24 | 43 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ermis | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 39% | 52% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 13% | 39% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 0% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 4% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ermis | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ermis | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ermis | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-8 | 3-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ermis | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 65.8% | 34.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Ermis or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ermis = 1.47 (league 1.41), Anorthosis Mouttagiakas = 0.36 (league 1.12)
| Anorthosis Mouttagiakas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ermis | 0 | 16.1% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.4% | 6.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 8.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1