3. Division
— Cyprus
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.44)
0.65 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.7% | 32.4% | 21.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 0
17.6%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Omonia Psevda | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Othellos | 0 | 17.6% | 11.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.2% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Othellos carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 60 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Othellos -6.4, Omonia Psevda -9.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Othellos
vs
Omonia Psevda
Elo gapOthellos +60
Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2962.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2962.1
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Othellos | Omonia Psevda |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1493.7 | 1468.4 |
| Form Elo | 1495.9 | 1469.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1524.2 | 1479.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1485.5 | 1454.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1544.4 | 1520.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -6.4 | -9.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Othellos last-5 Elo change: -6.4; Omonia Psevda last-5 Elo change: -9.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Othellos | Omonia Psevda |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 38% |
| Defense | 63% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Othellos | Omonia Psevda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 46% | 31% | 38% | 38% | 21% | 30% |
| Draws | 31% | 31% | 31% | 31% | 21% | 26% |
| Loses | 23% | 38% | 31% | 31% | 57% | 44% |
OthellosDDWWWLLDDLLLLWWDWWDWDLWWLD
Omonia PsevdaLWDLLDLDLLDLWWLLDWWWLDDLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Othellos | Omonia Psevda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 9 | 15 | 24 | 16 | 18 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Othellos | Omonia Psevda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 50% | 74% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 19% | 33% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 15% | 11% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Othellos | Omonia Psevda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Othellos | Omonia Psevda |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Othellos | Omonia Psevda |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-4 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Othellos | Omonia Psevda |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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