3. Division
— Cyprus
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.44)
0.84 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 19.3% | 13.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Kouris Erimi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ormideia | 0 | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Ormideia carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 69 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ormideia +12.9, Kouris Erimi +0.4.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Ormideia
vs
Kouris Erimi
Elo gapOrmideia +69
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2930.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2930.3
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Ormideia | Kouris Erimi |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1481.9 | 1448.4 |
| Form Elo | 1482.5 | 1460.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1523.7 | 1453.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1512.3 | 1434.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1514.9 | 1506.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +12.9 | +0.4 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Ormideia last-5 Elo change: +12.9; Kouris Erimi last-5 Elo change: +0.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ormideia | Kouris Erimi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 94% | 31% |
| Defense | 50% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ormideia | Kouris Erimi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 50% | 23% | 36% | 46% | 14% | 30% |
| Draws | 33% | 15% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 22% |
| Loses | 17% | 62% | 40% | 31% | 64% | 48% |
OrmideiaWLDWDDLDLWDWWLLLLDWLWLWLW
Kouris ErimiWLDLWDLLLLDLLLLDWDWLWWWLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Ormideia | Kouris Erimi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 13 | 35 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 10 | 24 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ormideia | Kouris Erimi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 68% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 26% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 8% | 11% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ormideia | Kouris Erimi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ormideia | Kouris Erimi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ormideia | Kouris Erimi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-3 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ormideia | Kouris Erimi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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