Fri, Feb 27 2026 • 15:45 •
Azadi Stadium
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.10)
1.22 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.3% | 25.4% | 30.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Fajr Sepasi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Esteghlal FC | 0 | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Fajr Sepasi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 56% | 67% |
| Defense | 67% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Fajr Sepasi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 50% | 36% | 43% | 55% | 18% | 36% |
| Draws | 40% | 45% | 43% | 9% | 45% | 27% |
| Loses | 10% | 18% | 14% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
Esteghlal FCWDLDDDWWWWDDDLWDDWLWW
Fajr SepasiDWDWDLWLDDDLLWLWLWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Fajr Sepasi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Esteghlal FC | Fajr Sepasi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 77% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 14% | 23% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Fajr Sepasi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Fajr Sepasi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Fajr Sepasi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Esteghlal FC | Fajr Sepasi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 63.3% | 36.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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