Liga 2 — Indonesia
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 12:00 • Stadion Teladan
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.52) 0.86 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.4% 33.7% 32.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.7%
1 - 0
15.4%
0 - 1
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sumsel United
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSMS Medan 0 17.7% 15.3% 6.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.7% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSMS MedanSumsel United
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack38%63%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSMS Medan Sumsel United
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%22%39%67%33%50%
Draws22%33%28%22%22%22%
Loses22%44%33%11%44%28%

Form: PSMS Medan: LDWWDDWLLDDLWLWWLW • Sumsel United: WWLLWDLDWWLWWDWLWD

League goals

Metric PSMS Medan Sumsel United
HATHAT
GF total111223171128
GF avg1.21.31.31.91.21.6
GA total71320101020
GA avg0.81.41.11.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSMS MedanSumsel United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%83%83%72%
1.533%22%39%33%
2.517%6%22%6%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSMS MedanSumsel United
HATHAT
Clean sheets303235
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricPSMS MedanSumsel United
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricPSMS MedanSumsel United
Wins22
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-10-5
Biggest losses0-22-11-23-1
Goals For3335
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricPSMS MedanSumsel United
Form53%47%
Att38%63%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total50.5%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : PSMS Medan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.16 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSMS Medan = 0.87 (league 1.52), Sumsel United = 0.86 (league 1.11)

Sumsel United
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSMS Medan 0 17.7% 15.3% 6.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.7% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 32.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1