Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 13:30 •
Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring
Expected Goals
5.65 (league 1.53)
0.72 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
best score tips
5 - 0
8.2%
4 - 0
7.3%
5 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sriwijaya FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sumsel United | 0 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sumsel United | Sriwijaya FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 0% |
| Attack | 80% | 10% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 30 | 6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sumsel United | Sriwijaya FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 70% | 30% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 22% | 10% |
| Loses | 10% | 50% | 30% | 100% | 78% | 90% |
Form: Sumsel United: WWLLWDLDWWLWWDWLWDLW • Sriwijaya FC: LDLLLLLDLLLLLLLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Sumsel United | Sriwijaya FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 12 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 29 | 43 | 72 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 4.8 | 3.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sumsel United | Sriwijaya FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 70% | 45% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 35% | 20% | 70% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 10% | 5% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 30% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sumsel United | Sriwijaya FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sumsel United | Sriwijaya FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sumsel United | Sriwijaya FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-5 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 15-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sumsel United | Sriwijaya FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 89% | 11% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 86.0% | 14.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Sumsel United and +2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sumsel United = 5.65 (league 1.53), Sriwijaya FC = 0.72 (league 1.11)
| Sriwijaya FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sumsel United | 0 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 2.0% · Away win 0.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1