Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 08:30 •
Tri Sanja Stadium
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.61)
0.86 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.3% | 34.4% | 34.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Persiraja Banda Aceh | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Persekat | 0 | 18.8% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 13.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Persiraja Banda Aceh carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 56 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Persekat -19.1, Persiraja Banda Aceh +16.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Persekat
vs
Persiraja Banda Aceh
Elo gapPersiraja Banda Aceh +56
Home / draw / away32% / 24% / 44%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo3004
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3004
Elo home share
42%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Persekat | Persiraja Banda Aceh |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1456.7 | 1547.3 |
| Form Elo | 1447 | 1548.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1514.1 | 1492.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1419.7 | 1563.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1490.9 | 1541.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -19.1 | +16.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Persekat last-5 Elo change: -19.1; Persiraja Banda Aceh last-5 Elo change: +16.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Persekat | Persiraja Banda Aceh |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 44% | 75% |
| Defense | 31% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Persekat | Persiraja Banda Aceh | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 25% | 23% | 24% | 54% | 25% | 40% |
| Draws | 58% | 8% | 32% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
| Loses | 17% | 69% | 44% | 15% | 42% | 28% |
PersekatWLDDLWLLLDDLWDWLDDLWLLDWL
Persiraja Banda AcehLLWDDWLWLDWWDDWLDWDLWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Persekat | Persiraja Banda Aceh | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 9 | 25 | 34 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Persekat | Persiraja Banda Aceh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 60% | 80% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 44% | 44% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 24% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 12% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Persekat | Persiraja Banda Aceh | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Persekat | Persiraja Banda Aceh |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Persekat | Persiraja Banda Aceh |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-0 | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Persekat | Persiraja Banda Aceh |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 37% | 63% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 36.6% | 63.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
