Liga 2 — Indonesia
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 08:30 • Tri Sanja Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.61) 0.86 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 34.4% 34.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Persiraja Banda Aceh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persekat 0 18.8% 16.2% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.1% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.2% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Persiraja Banda Aceh carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 56 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Persekat -19.1, Persiraja Banda Aceh +16.2.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Persekat Elo 1456.7 · -19.1
vs
Persiraja Banda Aceh Elo 1547.3 · +16.2
Elo gapPersiraja Banda Aceh +56
Home / draw / away32% / 24% / 44%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo3004
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3004
Elo home share 42%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Persekat Persiraja Banda Aceh
Overall Elo1456.71547.3
Form Elo14471548.5
Home / Away Elo1514.11492.9
Attack Elo1419.71563.7
Defense Elo1490.91541.5
Last 5 Elo change-19.1+16.2

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Persekat last-5 Elo change: -19.1; Persiraja Banda Aceh last-5 Elo change: +16.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersekatPersiraja Banda Aceh
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack44%75%
Defense31%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persekat Persiraja Banda Aceh
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins25%23%24%54%25%40%
Draws58%8%32%31%33%32%
Loses17%69%44%15%42%28%
PersekatWLDDLWLLLDDLWDWLDDLWLLDWL
Persiraja Banda AcehLLWDDWLWLDWWDDWLDWDLWWWLD

League goals

Metric Persekat Persiraja Banda Aceh
HATHAT
GF total12921261440
GF avg1.00.70.82.01.21.6
GA total92534141630
GA avg0.81.91.41.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersekatPersiraja Banda Aceh
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%60%80%72%
1.520%44%44%32%
2.50%20%24%12%
3.50%12%8%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersekatPersiraja Banda Aceh
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310437
Failed to score459055

Penalties

MetricPersekatPersiraja Banda Aceh
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricPersekatPersiraja Banda Aceh
Wins13
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-15-02-3
Biggest losses2-34-02-34-3
Goals For2253
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricPersekatPersiraja Banda Aceh
Form29%71%
Att37%63%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total36.6%63.4%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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