Persiba Balikpapan vs PSS Sleman

Liga 2 — Indonesia

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:00 • Stadion Batakan

Not Started

home	draw	away
8.4%	19.0%	71.0%

		PSS Sleman
Persiba Balikpapan	0	8.3%	16.5%	16.4%	10.8%	5.3%	2.1%
1	4.2%	8.3%	8.2%	5.4%	2.7%	1.1%
2	1.1%	2.1%	2.1%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
3	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Away strong edge

PSS Sleman carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 139 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Persiba Balikpapan -18.8, PSS Sleman +14.4.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone

Persiba Balikpapan Elo 1406.5 · -18.8

PSS Sleman Elo 1580.6 · +14.4

Elo gapPSS Sleman +139

Home / draw / away25% / 18% / 57%

Expected home share31%

Combined Elo2987.1

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Away strong edge

Confidence band Strong confidence

Upset risk Low

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2987.1

Elo home share 31%

Match tone Heavy Favorite

Metric	Persiba Balikpapan	PSS Sleman
Overall Elo	1406.5	1580.6
Form Elo	1394.7	1596.2
Home / Away Elo	1464.3	1519
Attack Elo	1412.4	1637.8
Defense Elo	1459.6	1563.2
Last 5 Elo change	-18.8	+14.4

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Persiba Balikpapan last-5 Elo change: -18.8; PSS Sleman last-5 Elo change: +14.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Persiba Balikpapan	PSS Sleman
Played	5	5
Form	13%	67%
Attack	19%	69%
Defense	44%	81%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	11 \| 2.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	3 \| 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%

FT probability

2.5+

50%

FT probability

3.5+

35%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Persiba Balikpapan			PSS Sleman
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	12	13	25	13	12	25
Wins	25%	8%	16%	77%	42%	60%
Draws	17%	31%	24%	23%	33%	28%
Loses	58%	62%	60%	0%	25%	12%

Persiba BalikpapanLWWLLLWLDLDLLLLLWLDDDLLLD

PSS SlemanWWWWWWLDDWWDWLWDDDWWWDWLW

League goals

Metric	Persiba Balikpapan			PSS Sleman
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	11	10	21	29	20	49
GF avg	0.9	0.8	0.8	2.2	1.7	2.0
GA total	16	23	39	7	11	18
GA avg	1.3	1.8	1.6	0.5	0.9	0.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Persiba Balikpapan		PSS Sleman
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	56%	84%	88%	64%
1.5	16%	52%	52%	8%
2.5	12%	20%	28%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	12%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	8%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Persiba Balikpapan			PSS Sleman
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	0	4	6	3	9
Failed to score	5	6	11	2	1	3

Penalties

Metric	Persiba Balikpapan	PSS Sleman
Scored (total \| %)	5 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	5	3

Streaks

Metric	Persiba Balikpapan	PSS Sleman
Wins	2	6
Draws	3	3
Losses	5	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	1-2	7-0	0-5
Biggest losses	0-3	3-0	—	2-1
Goals For	3	3	7	5
Goals Against	3	3	1	2

Model comparison

Metric	Persiba Balikpapan	PSS Sleman
Form	17%	83%
Att	21%	79%
Def	25%	75%
Poisson Distribution	21%	79%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	33%	67%
Total	23.4%	76.6%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Persiba Balikpapan vs PSS Sleman

Metric	Persiba Balikpapan	PSS Sleman
Scored (total \| %)	5 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	5	3

Persiba Balikpapan vs PSS Sleman