Fri, May 1 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.62 (league 1.76) 1.84 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.9% 18.3% 25.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
6.7%
3 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Dinamo Moskva U19
0 1 2 3 4 5
CSKA Moskva U19 0 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.0% 5.6% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.0% 7.3% 6.7% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.5% 6.4% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

CSKA Moskva U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 143 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: CSKA Moskva U19 +10.2, Dinamo Moskva U19 +4.5.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
CSKA Moskva U19 Elo 1657 · +10.2
vs
Dinamo Moskva U19 Elo 1548.8 · +4.5
Elo gapCSKA Moskva U19 +143
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3205.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3205.8
Elo home share 70%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric CSKA Moskva U19 Dinamo Moskva U19
Overall Elo16571548.8
Form Elo1671.11557.7
Home / Away Elo1533.21524.9
Attack Elo1775.41567
Defense Elo1596.91417.8
Last 5 Elo change+10.2+4.5

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. CSKA Moskva U19 last-5 Elo change: +10.2; Dinamo Moskva U19 last-5 Elo change: +4.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCSKA Moskva U19Dinamo Moskva U19
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack68%32%
Defense68%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CSKA Moskva U19 Dinamo Moskva U19
HATHAT
Played257347
Wins50%80%71%67%50%57%
Draws0%20%14%33%0%14%
Loses50%0%14%0%50%29%
CSKA Moskva U19WWWWDLW
Dinamo Moskva U19WDLWWLW

League goals

Metric CSKA Moskva U19 Dinamo Moskva U19
HATHAT
GF total420244711
GF avg2.04.03.41.31.81.6
GA total3691910
GA avg1.51.21.30.32.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCSKA Moskva U19Dinamo Moskva U19
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%43%86%57%
1.5100%43%57%29%
2.557%29%14%29%
3.557%14%0%14%
4.529%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCSKA Moskva U19Dinamo Moskva U19
HATHAT
Clean sheets134213
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricCSKA Moskva U19Dinamo Moskva U19
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCSKA Moskva U19Dinamo Moskva U19
Wins42
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-52-01-3
Biggest losses2-3——5-0
Goals For2523
Goals Against3415

Model comparison

MetricCSKA Moskva U19Dinamo Moskva U19
Form53%47%
Att68%32%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h60%40%
Goals55%45%
Total58.3%41.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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