Expected Goals
2.62 (league 1.76)
1.84 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.9% | 18.3% | 25.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
6.7%
3 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Dinamo Moskva U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CSKA Moskva U19 | 0 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
CSKA Moskva U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 143 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: CSKA Moskva U19 +10.2, Dinamo Moskva U19 +4.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
CSKA Moskva U19
vs
Dinamo Moskva U19
Elo gapCSKA Moskva U19 +143
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3205.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3205.8
Elo home share
70%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | CSKA Moskva U19 | Dinamo Moskva U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1657 | 1548.8 |
| Form Elo | 1671.1 | 1557.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1533.2 | 1524.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1775.4 | 1567 |
| Defense Elo | 1596.9 | 1417.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +10.2 | +4.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. CSKA Moskva U19 last-5 Elo change: +10.2; Dinamo Moskva U19 last-5 Elo change: +4.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CSKA Moskva U19 | Dinamo Moskva U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 68% | 32% |
| Defense | 68% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CSKA Moskva U19 | Dinamo Moskva U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 80% | 71% | 67% | 50% | 57% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 14% | 33% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 50% | 29% |
CSKA Moskva U19WWWWDLW
Dinamo Moskva U19WDLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | CSKA Moskva U19 | Dinamo Moskva U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 20 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CSKA Moskva U19 | Dinamo Moskva U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 43% | 86% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 43% | 57% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 29% | 14% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 14% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CSKA Moskva U19 | Dinamo Moskva U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | CSKA Moskva U19 | Dinamo Moskva U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | CSKA Moskva U19 | Dinamo Moskva U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | — | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CSKA Moskva U19 | Dinamo Moskva U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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