Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 20:00 •
Orange Velodrome
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.20)
0.05 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 86.6% | 8.8% | 0.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
24.4%
3 - 0
20.3%
1 - 0
19.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Toulouse | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marseille | 0 | 7.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 24.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 20.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marseille | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 95% | 26% |
| Defense | 100% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 18 | 6 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marseille | Toulouse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
MarseilleWWW
ToulouseWWW
League goals
| Metric | Marseille | Toulouse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 15 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marseille | Toulouse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marseille | Toulouse | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marseille | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marseille | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-9 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marseille | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 65.5% | 34.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.83 @ 1xBet
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away4.65 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…