Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 00:00 • Estadio 9 de Mayo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.29) 1.19 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 26.9% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.7%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orense SC 0 8.1% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.7% 12.8% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.1% 8.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrense SCLibertad
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack64%45%
Defense9%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orense SC Libertad
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%50%0%29%
Draws33%25%29%50%67%57%
Loses33%75%57%0%33%14%
Orense SCLDDLWLL
LibertadWDWLDDD

League goals

Metric Orense SC Libertad
HATHAT
GF total549527
GF avg1.71.01.31.30.71.0
GA total5813336
GA avg1.72.01.90.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrense SCLibertad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%100%71%57%
1.529%71%29%29%
2.514%14%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrense SCLibertad
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricOrense SCLibertad
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricOrense SCLibertad
Wins11
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—2-1—
Biggest losses1-22-0—2-1
Goals For3221
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricOrense SCLibertad
Form40%60%
Att58%42%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total43.3%56.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Betano
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Unibet
No2.07 @ Betano
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League standings

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