Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 21:30 •
Olimpico Atahualpa
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.30)
0.41 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.4% | 14.6% | 5.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.7%
1 - 0
15.4%
3 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Libertad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Universidad Catolica | 0 | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 20% |
| Attack | 60% | 27% |
| Defense | 80% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Libertad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Universidad CatolicaDWDWDWDW
LibertadWDWLDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Libertad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Universidad Catolica | Libertad | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 0% | 25% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Libertad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 60.7% | 39.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.36 @ Unibet
Draw5.12 @ 1xBet
Away9.50 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…