Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 20:45 • Estádio José Alvalade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.67) 2.73 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.0% 11.8% 77.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.1%
0 - 3
12.9%
0 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
FC Porto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 3.8% 10.3% 14.1% 12.9% 8.8% 4.8%
1 2.0% 5.6% 7.6% 7.0% 4.8% 2.6%
2 0.6% 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CPFC Porto
Played44
Form100%100%
Attack80%80%
Defense60%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 312 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.51 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP FC Porto
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Sporting CP: WWWW • FC Porto: WWWW

League goals

Metric Sporting CP FC Porto
HATHAT
GF total66128412
GF avg3.03.03.02.74.03.0
GA total246101
GA avg1.02.01.50.30.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CPFC Porto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%25%
1.5100%75%75%0%
2.5100%0%75%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CPFC Porto
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSporting CPFC Porto
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSporting CPFC Porto
Wins44
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-34-10-4
Biggest losses
Goals For3344
Goals Against2210

Model comparison

MetricSporting CPFC Porto
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : Sporting CP or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ 188Bet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away4.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP = 0.54 (league 1.67), FC Porto = 2.73 (league 1.46)

FC Porto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 3.8% 10.3% 14.1% 12.9% 8.8% 4.8%
1 2.0% 5.6% 7.6% 7.0% 4.8% 2.6%
2 0.6% 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.0% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 77.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1