Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 20:00 • Camp Nou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.25) 1.88 (league 2.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.2% 21.9% 60.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
11.6%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 6.6% 12.4% 11.6% 7.3% 3.4% 1.3%
1 5.5% 10.4% 9.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 2.3% 4.4% 4.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Played44
Form75%100%
Attack33%72%
Defense72%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.513 | 3.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.32 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
Played044134
Wins75%75%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%
Loses25%25%0%0%0%

Form: Barcelona: WWWL • Atletico Madrid: WWWW

League goals

Metric Barcelona Atletico Madrid
HATHAT
GF total0664913
GF avg0.01.51.54.03.03.3
GA total055022
GA avg0.01.31.30.00.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%100%25%
1.575%25%75%25%
2.50%25%75%0%
3.50%25%50%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets022123
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Wins34
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-24-00-5
Biggest losses4-0
Goals For0245
Goals Against0402

Model comparison

MetricBarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Form43%57%
Att32%68%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals52%48%
Total45.4%54.6%

Advice: Winner : Atletico Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Betano
Draw5.99 @ Pinnacle
Away6.25 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Pinnacle
No3.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barcelona = 0.84 (league 1.25), Atletico Madrid = 1.88 (league 2.07)

Atletico Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 6.6% 12.4% 11.6% 7.3% 3.4% 1.3%
1 5.5% 10.4% 9.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 2.3% 4.4% 4.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.2% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 60.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1