Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 20:00 • Reale Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.12 (league 1.25) 2.22 (league 2.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.1% 16.4% 24.4%
best score tips
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 2
5.7%
3 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad 0 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.5% 3.3% 3.7% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7%
2 2.3% 5.2% 5.7% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.4% 5.4% 6.0% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.9% 4.2% 4.7% 3.5% 1.9% 0.9%
5 1.2% 2.6% 2.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal SociedadAthletic Club
Played54
Form100%75%
Attack69%44%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Sociedad Athletic Club
HATHAT
Played156134
Wins100%100%100%0%100%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%0%25%

Form: Real Sociedad: WWWWWW • Athletic Club: WWWL

League goals

Metric Real Sociedad Athletic Club
HATHAT
GF total31114077
GF avg3.02.22.30.02.31.8
GA total235145
GA avg2.00.60.81.01.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal SociedadAthletic Club
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%75%75%
1.583%33%50%25%
2.550%0%25%25%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal SociedadAthletic Club
HATHAT
Clean sheets033011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricReal SociedadAthletic Club
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricReal SociedadAthletic Club
Wins63
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-33-4
Biggest losses0-1
Goals For3304
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricReal SociedadAthletic Club
Form63%38%
Att61%39%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total58.5%41.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Real Sociedad or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.35 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Real Sociedad = 3.12 (league 1.25), Athletic Club = 2.22 (league 2.07)

Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad 0 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.5% 3.3% 3.7% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7%
2 2.3% 5.2% 5.7% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.4% 5.4% 6.0% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
4 1.9% 4.2% 4.7% 3.5% 1.9% 0.9%
5 1.2% 2.6% 2.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 24.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1