Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 19:00 • AFAS Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.85) 0.97 (league 2.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 25.9% 24.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Telstar
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 8.4% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.3% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ AlkmaarTelstar
Played34
Form100%100%
Attack65%82%
Defense88%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 3.714 | 3.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.73 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Alkmaar Telstar
HATHAT
Played213134
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: AZ Alkmaar: WWW • Telstar: WWWW

League goals

Metric AZ Alkmaar Telstar
HATHAT
GF total831121214
GF avg4.03.03.72.04.03.5
GA total112123
GA avg0.51.00.71.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ AlkmaarTelstar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%75%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.567%0%75%0%
3.533%0%50%0%
4.533%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ AlkmaarTelstar
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAZ AlkmaarTelstar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAZ AlkmaarTelstar
Wins34
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-32-10-5
Biggest losses————
Goals For6325
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricAZ AlkmaarTelstar
Form43%57%
Att44%56%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Betano
Draw4.95 @ 188Bet
Away6.80 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 1.51 (league 1.85), Telstar = 0.97 (league 2.07)

Telstar
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 8.4% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.3% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 24.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1