Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:00 • Goffertstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.85) 1.94 (league 2.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.4% 19.8% 69.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 2
15.8%
0 - 3
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 8.4% 16.3% 15.8% 10.2% 4.9% 1.9%
1 4.5% 8.8% 8.5% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNEC NijmegenPSV Eindhoven
Played43
Form100%100%
Attack60%73%
Defense73%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.311 | 3.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 12 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NEC Nijmegen PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played134213
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: NEC Nijmegen: WWWW • PSV Eindhoven: WWW

League goals

Metric NEC Nijmegen PSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total1897411
GF avg1.02.72.33.54.03.7
GA total044112
GA avg0.01.31.00.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNEC NijmegenPSV Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%67%
1.575%25%100%0%
2.550%0%100%0%
3.50%0%67%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNEC NijmegenPSV Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricNEC NijmegenPSV Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNEC NijmegenPSV Eindhoven
Wins43
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-34-11-4
Biggest losses————
Goals For1344
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricNEC NijmegenPSV Eindhoven
Form57%43%
Att45%55%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total40.4%59.8%

Advice: Winner : PSV Eindhoven

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.35 @ Betano
Draw4.60 @ 188Bet
Away1.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.37 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Pinnacle
No3.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NEC Nijmegen = 0.54 (league 1.85), PSV Eindhoven = 1.94 (league 2.07)

PSV Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC Nijmegen 0 8.4% 16.3% 15.8% 10.2% 4.9% 1.9%
1 4.5% 8.8% 8.5% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.4% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 69.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1