Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:00 •
Urartu Stadium
Expected Goals
2.52 (league 1.62)
0.74 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8% | 15.1% | 8.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.2%
3 - 0
10.3%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Van | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Urartu | 0 | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
FC Urartu carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 98 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: FC Urartu +1.3, Van -22.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
FC Urartu
vs
Van
Elo gapFC Urartu +98
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo3062.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3062.4
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | FC Urartu | Van |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1562.8 | 1499.6 |
| Form Elo | 1568.3 | 1480.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1501.2 | 1489.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1689.5 | 1507.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1545.6 | 1493.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +1.3 | -22.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. FC Urartu last-5 Elo change: +1.3; Van last-5 Elo change: -22.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Urartu | Van |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 64% | 43% |
| Defense | 43% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Urartu | Van | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 50% | 58% | 55% | 33% | 30% | 32% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% | 25% | 10% | 18% |
| Loses | 30% | 8% | 18% | 42% | 60% | 50% |
FC UrartuDWWLWLWWDDWWDDWDWWWWLL
VanDWLDLWLLLWLWWWDLLDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | FC Urartu | Van | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 16 | 40 | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Urartu | Van | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 55% | 64% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 23% | 32% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 9% | 14% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Urartu | Van | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Urartu | Van |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Urartu | Van |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Urartu | Van |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 63.3% | 36.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw4.40 @ Betfair
Away6.00 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No1.95 @ William Hill
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League standings
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