FA Cup — Scotland
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 19:30 • The SMISA Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.78) 1.87 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.7% 22.6% 53.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Partick
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 5.0% 9.4% 8.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
1 5.7% 10.5% 9.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.2% 5.9% 5.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST MirrenPartick
Played23
Form100%100%
Attack31%62%
Defense85%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 28 | 2.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 13 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Mirren Partick
HATHAT
Played022123
Wins—100%100%100%100%100%
Draws—0%0%0%0%0%
Loses—0%0%0%0%0%

Form: ST Mirren: WW • Partick: WWW

League goals

Metric ST Mirren Partick
HATHAT
GF total044358
GF avg0.02.02.03.02.52.7
GA total022123
GA avg0.01.01.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST MirrenPartick
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%67%
1.5100%0%100%33%
2.50%0%67%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST MirrenPartick
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricST MirrenPartick
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricST MirrenPartick
Wins23
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-23-10-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For0233
Goals Against0112

Model comparison

MetricST MirrenPartick
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h60%40%
Goals44%56%
Total47.4%52.6%

Advice: Double chance : ST Mirren or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ SBO
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away3.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.89 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Mirren = 1.13 (league 1.78), Partick = 1.87 (league 1.34)

Partick
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 5.0% 9.4% 8.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
1 5.7% 10.5% 9.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.2% 5.9% 5.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.7% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 53.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1