Carioca - 1
— Brazil
Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 21:00 •
Estádio do Maracanã
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.30)
0.87 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.3% | 23.9% | 19.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Bangu | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fluminense | 0 | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fluminense | Bangu |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 47% |
| Attack | 47% | 33% |
| Defense | 73% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fluminense | Bangu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 83% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
FluminenseWLWWWW
BanguWLWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Fluminense | Bangu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fluminense | Bangu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 50% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fluminense | Bangu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fluminense | Bangu |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fluminense | Bangu |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fluminense | Bangu |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 37% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 76% | 24% |
| Total | 67.7% | 32.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.19 @ Betano
Draw6.90 @ Pinnacle
Away16.50 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.38 @ Marathonbet
No1.60 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…