Carioca - 1
— Brazil
Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 20:30 •
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.30)
0.20 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1% | 19.3% | 3.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.6%
2 - 0
21.8%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Flamengo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Botafogo | 0 | 13.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.6% | 5.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.8% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Botafogo | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 31% | 77% |
| Defense | 62% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Botafogo | Flamengo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
BotafogoWLWWLL
FlamengoDLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Botafogo | Flamengo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Botafogo | Flamengo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Botafogo | Flamengo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Botafogo | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Botafogo | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 7-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Botafogo | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away1.90 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.32 @ Betano
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…