Azadegan League
— Iran
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:30 •
Takhti Stadium
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 0.98)
0.27 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.9% | 28.5% | 7.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.1%
0 - 0
20.7%
2 - 0
17.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Ario Eslamshahr | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sanat Naft | 0 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.1% | 7.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.8% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sanat Naft | Ario Eslamshahr |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 60% | 20% |
| Defense | 60% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sanat Naft | Ario Eslamshahr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 67% | 27% | 48% | 42% | 9% | 26% |
| Draws | 33% | 36% | 35% | 42% | 36% | 39% |
| Loses | 0% | 36% | 17% | 17% | 55% | 35% |
Form: Sanat Naft: DDDDLDDWLWWWWWWDDWLWWWL • Ario Eslamshahr: DWLDDLDDWLWDLDWLLDWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Sanat Naft | Ario Eslamshahr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sanat Naft | Ario Eslamshahr | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 57% | 35% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 4% | 9% | 4% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sanat Naft | Ario Eslamshahr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sanat Naft | Ario Eslamshahr |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sanat Naft | Ario Eslamshahr |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sanat Naft | Ario Eslamshahr |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sanat Naft or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sanat Naft = 1.31 (league 0.98), Ario Eslamshahr = 0.27 (league 0.68)
| Ario Eslamshahr | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sanat Naft | 0 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.1% | 7.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.8% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 7.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1