Azadegan League
— Iran
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 0.98)
0.35 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.6% | 36.2% | 13.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.2%
1 - 0
25.8%
2 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Navad Urmia | 0 | 26.2% | 9.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.8% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Shenavarsazi Qeshm |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 53% |
| Attack | 20% | 50% |
| Defense | 0% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 18% | 9% | 14% | 36% | 8% | 22% |
| Draws | 64% | 27% | 45% | 36% | 33% | 35% |
| Loses | 18% | 64% | 41% | 27% | 58% | 43% |
Form: Navad Urmia: WDLDDWDDLDDWLDLDLLDLLL • Shenavarsazi Qeshm: WLWLDDDLLLLDLDLLWDDWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Navad Urmia | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 73% | 43% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 5% | 18% | 4% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 9% | 0% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Shenavarsazi Qeshm |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Shenavarsazi Qeshm |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Shenavarsazi Qeshm |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 11% | 89% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Shenavarsazi Qeshm and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Navad Urmia = 0.98 (league 0.98), Shenavarsazi Qeshm = 0.35 (league 0.68)
| Shenavarsazi Qeshm | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Navad Urmia | 0 | 26.2% | 9.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.8% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 36.2% · Away win 13.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1