Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.25) 1.52 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 25.9% 55.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.0%
0 - 2
12.2%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Smail
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Rustaq 0 10.5% 16.0% 12.2% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.7% 8.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 2.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-RustaqSmail
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack25%42%
Defense8%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Rustaq Smail
HATHAT
Played79167815
Wins0%11%6%14%25%20%
Draws29%0%13%43%38%40%
Loses71%89%81%43%38%40%

Form: Al-Rustaq: LLLLLLLDLLWLLLDL • Smail: LDDWDLWLDDLLLWD

League goals

Metric Al-Rustaq Smail
HATHAT
GF total57125914
GF avg0.70.80.80.71.10.9
GA total12203281018
GA avg1.72.22.01.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-RustaqSmail
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%94%47%73%
1.513%63%27%27%
2.50%25%13%13%
3.50%13%7%7%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-RustaqSmail
HATHAT
Clean sheets101134
Failed to score336448

Penalties

MetricAl-RustaqSmail
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAl-RustaqSmail
Wins11
Draws12
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-10-4
Biggest losses2-45-10-24-1
Goals For2224
Goals Against4524

Model comparison

MetricAl-RustaqSmail
Form20%80%
Att38%63%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total31.2%69.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Smail

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ 10Bet
Away2.62 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Rustaq = 0.73 (league 1.25), Smail = 1.52 (league 1.23)

Smail
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Rustaq 0 10.5% 16.0% 12.2% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.7% 8.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 2.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 55.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1