Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
JRD Tata Sports Complex
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.47)
0.17 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.8% | 47.7% | 8.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
42.5%
1 - 0
29.0%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Chennaiyin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jamshedpur | 0 | 42.5% | 7.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.0% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Jamshedpur carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 111 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Jamshedpur -25.9, Chennaiyin -15.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Jamshedpur
vs
Chennaiyin
Elo gapJamshedpur +111
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo2983.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2983.8
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Jamshedpur | Chennaiyin |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1530.1 | 1453.7 |
| Form Elo | 1529.4 | 1447.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1520.4 | 1486.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1471.7 | 1442.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1529.2 | 1458.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -25.9 | -15.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Jamshedpur last-5 Elo change: -25.9; Chennaiyin last-5 Elo change: -15.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jamshedpur | Chennaiyin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 44% | 44% |
| Defense | 22% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jamshedpur | Chennaiyin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 60% | 25% | 44% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Draws | 40% | 25% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 22% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
JamshedpurWWWWLDDDL
ChennaiyinLLDWDLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Jamshedpur | Chennaiyin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jamshedpur | Chennaiyin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 22% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jamshedpur | Chennaiyin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jamshedpur | Chennaiyin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jamshedpur | Chennaiyin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jamshedpur | Chennaiyin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.88 @ Unibet
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away4.49 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No1.90 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…