Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 12:00 • Metlaoui Municipal stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.13) 1.03 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.3% 35.1% 53.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.7%
0 - 0
25.9%
0 - 2
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
ES Tunis
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Metlaoui 0 25.9% 26.7% 13.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.3%
1 8.3% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES MetlaouiES Tunis
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack27%73%
Defense45%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Metlaoui ES Tunis
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins30%30%30%91%44%70%
Draws70%10%40%9%33%20%
Loses0%60%30%0%22%10%

Form: ES Metlaoui: DWWLDLWLDWWLDDWDDLDL • ES Tunis: DDWWLWWWWDWWWDWWLWWW

League goals

Metric ES Metlaoui ES Tunis
HATHAT
GF total9413221335
GF avg0.90.40.72.01.41.8
GA total61117246
GA avg0.61.10.90.20.40.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES MetlaouiES Tunis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%80%25%
1.515%35%55%5%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%15%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES MetlaouiES Tunis
HATHAT
Clean sheets64109615
Failed to score4610044

Penalties

MetricES MetlaouiES Tunis
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricES MetlaouiES Tunis
Wins24
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-14-00-4
Biggest losses—2-0—2-1
Goals For2144
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricES MetlaouiES Tunis
Form20%80%
Att27%73%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h7%93%
Goals31%69%
Total23.7%76.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or ES Tunis and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Unibet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): ES Metlaoui = 0.32 (league 1.13), ES Tunis = 1.03 (league 0.81)

ES Tunis
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Metlaoui 0 25.9% 26.7% 13.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.3%
1 8.3% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.3% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 53.5%

vtt 7 , vtd1