Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.33)
0.16 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2% | 24.5% | 3.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
28.7%
2 - 0
21.1%
0 - 0
19.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Guarany SE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AO Itabaiana | 0 | 19.5% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.7% | 4.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.1% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | Guarany SE |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 57% | 36% |
| Defense | 86% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | Guarany SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 50% | 63% | 60% | 0% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 67% | 38% |
AO ItabaianaWWLWDWLW
Guarany SEWDLDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | Guarany SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AO Itabaiana | Guarany SE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 38% | 50% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 38% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | Guarany SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | Guarany SE |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | Guarany SE |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | Guarany SE |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.50 @ Unibet
Draw4.20 @ William Hill
Away9.70 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.87 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.30 @ William Hill
No1.83 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…