Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio Francisco Stedile
Expected Goals
3.64 (league 1.24)
0.85 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
best score tips
3 - 0
9.0%
4 - 0
8.2%
3 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| São Luiz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caxias | 0 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Caxias | São Luiz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 11% | 39% |
| Defense | 67% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Caxias | São Luiz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
CaxiasDWWLLLLW
São LuizDDLWDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Caxias | São Luiz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Caxias | São Luiz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 88% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 13% | 25% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Caxias | São Luiz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Caxias | São Luiz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Caxias | São Luiz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Caxias | São Luiz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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