Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 00:30 •
Estadio Luis Franzini
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.14)
1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.0% | 27.7% | 29.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.7%
0 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Cerro Largo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Defensor Sporting | 0 | 9.7% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 50% |
| Attack | 21% | 14% |
| Defense | 86% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
39%
FT probability
2.5+
28%
FT probability
3.5+
20%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Cerro Largo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | — | 50% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | — | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Defensor SportingDW
Cerro LargoWL
League goals
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Cerro Largo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Defensor Sporting | Cerro Largo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Cerro Largo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 52.6% | 47.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.12 @ 10Bet
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away3.85 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.70 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…