Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 20:00 •
Jardines Del Hipódromo
Expected Goals
3.49 (league 1.15)
0.05 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 82.3% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
20.6%
4 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Progreso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Danubio | 0 | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 20.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 17.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Danubio | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 0% |
| Attack | 27% | 0% |
| Defense | 64% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Danubio | Progreso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
DanubioWWL
ProgresoLLL
League goals
| Metric | Danubio | Progreso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Danubio | Progreso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Danubio | Progreso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Danubio | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Danubio | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Danubio | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away4.10 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.82 @ Betano
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League standings
Loading standings…