Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 12:45 • Estadio Belvedere
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.10) 1.09 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.4% 33.4% 51.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.3%
0 - 0
21.4%
0 - 2
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cerro Largo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool Montevideo 0 21.4% 23.3% 12.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.8% 10.6% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
Played33
Form44%33%
Attack33%17%
Defense67%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.32 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.33 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liverpool Montevideo Cerro Largo
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%50%33%0%50%33%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%33%100%50%67%

Form: Liverpool Montevideo: WLD • Cerro Largo: WLL

League goals

Metric Liverpool Montevideo Cerro Largo
HATHAT
GF total134112
GF avg1.01.51.31.00.50.7
GA total224213
GA avg2.01.01.32.00.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%67%67%
1.533%33%0%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricLiverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLiverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
Wins11
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2—0-1
Biggest losses1-2—1-21-0
Goals For1211
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricLiverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
Form57%43%
Att67%33%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Liverpool Montevideo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Unibet
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away4.26 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liverpool Montevideo = 0.46 (league 1.10), Cerro Largo = 1.09 (league 0.92)

Cerro Largo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool Montevideo 0 21.4% 23.3% 12.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.8% 10.6% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.4% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 51.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1