Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 12:45 •
Estadio Belvedere
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.14)
1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.6% | 34.8% | 49.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.8%
0 - 0
23.2%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Cerro Largo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Liverpool Montevideo | 0 | 23.2% | 23.8% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 17% |
| Defense | 67% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Cerro Largo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 50% | 67% |
Liverpool MontevideoWLD
Cerro LargoWLL
League goals
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Cerro Largo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Liverpool Montevideo | Cerro Largo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Cerro Largo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 49.2% | 50.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.05 @ Unibet
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away4.26 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…