Super Liga
— Moldova
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 •
Joma Arena
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.71)
2.76 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | 13.3% | 72.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.1%
0 - 3
10.3%
1 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Zimbru | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dacia-Buiucani | 0 | 2.9% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Zimbru carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 176 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dacia-Buiucani -36.4, Zimbru +10.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Dacia-Buiucani
vs
Zimbru
Elo gapZimbru +176
Home / draw / away22% / 18% / 60%
Expected home share27%
Combined Elo3068.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3068.6
Elo home share
27%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Dacia-Buiucani | Zimbru |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1428.9 | 1639.7 |
| Form Elo | 1390.6 | 1649.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1470.8 | 1551 |
| Attack Elo | 1663.2 | 1862.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1491.9 | 1636.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -36.4 | +10.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Dacia-Buiucani last-5 Elo change: -36.4; Zimbru last-5 Elo change: +10.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dacia-Buiucani | Zimbru |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 67% |
| Attack | 25% | 63% |
| Defense | 38% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dacia-Buiucani | Zimbru | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 15% | 14% | 15% | 62% | 57% | 59% |
| Draws | 8% | 14% | 11% | 31% | 21% | 26% |
| Loses | 77% | 71% | 74% | 8% | 21% | 15% |
Dacia-BuiucaniWDLWLLLWLDWLLLLLDLLLLLLLLLL
ZimbruLLWWDWWWDDWWWWWDDLWWWDWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Dacia-Buiucani | Zimbru | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 28 | 62 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 27 | 25 | 52 | 13 | 16 | 29 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dacia-Buiucani | Zimbru | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 93% | 85% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 70% | 67% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 26% | 41% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 4% | 15% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dacia-Buiucani | Zimbru | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dacia-Buiucani | Zimbru |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dacia-Buiucani | Zimbru |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-3 | 7-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dacia-Buiucani | Zimbru |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 31.8% | 68.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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