Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 08:00 •
George Andrews Reserve
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.71)
1.17 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6% | 31.2% | 67.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
34.4%
0 - 0
29.3%
0 - 2
20.2%
Score & goals probability table
| South Melbourne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dandenong Thunder | 0 | 29.3% | 34.4% | 20.2% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dandenong Thunder | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 80% |
| Attack | 21% | 50% |
| Defense | 43% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dandenong Thunder | South Melbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 80% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 100% | 80% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
Dandenong ThunderDLLLL
South MelbourneWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Dandenong Thunder | South Melbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dandenong Thunder | South Melbourne | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 100% | 100% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dandenong Thunder | South Melbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dandenong Thunder | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dandenong Thunder | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dandenong Thunder | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 8% | 92% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 6% | 94% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 26.0% | 74.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.60 @ Betfair
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.74 @ SBO
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.30 @ BetVictor
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League standings
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