Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 05:00 •
Genis Steel Stadium
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.71)
0.72 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.9% | 35.2% | 27.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
20.2%
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 1
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| South Melbourne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Preston Lions | 0 | 20.2% | 14.6% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Preston Lions | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 40% | 40% |
| Defense | 70% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Preston Lions | South Melbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 57% | 67% | 75% | 71% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 25% | 33% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
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South MelbourneWLWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Preston Lions | South Melbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Preston Lions | South Melbourne | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 71% | 86% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 14% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Preston Lions | South Melbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Preston Lions | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Preston Lions | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Preston Lions | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ SBO
Draw4.08 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ SBO
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.17 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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