Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 07:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 2.10)
4.78 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | 9.3% | 45.3% |
best score tips
2 - 4
4.9%
2 - 5
4.7%
1 - 4
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Northcote City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melbourne Srbija | 0 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Melbourne Srbija | Northcote City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 100% |
| Attack | 42% | 100% |
| Defense | 17% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
91%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Melbourne Srbija | Northcote City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 20% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 80% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Melbourne SrbijaLLLWL
Northcote CityWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Melbourne Srbija | Northcote City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Melbourne Srbija | Northcote City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 100% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 80% | 100% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 80% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Melbourne Srbija | Northcote City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Melbourne Srbija | Northcote City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Melbourne Srbija | Northcote City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Melbourne Srbija | Northcote City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 24% | 76% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.98 @ Pinnacle
Away1.70 @ William Hill
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.37 @ 188Bet
No2.94 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365
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League standings
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