Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 05:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 2.10) 2.46 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 18.9% 41.5%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
North Geelong Warriors
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory II 0 1.0% 2.4% 2.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.1% 5.2% 6.3% 5.2% 3.2% 1.6%
2 2.3% 5.6% 6.9% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.7% 4.1% 5.1% 4.1% 2.5% 1.3%
4 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne Victory IINorth Geelong Warriors
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack50%40%
Defense45%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne Victory II North Geelong Warriors
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%0%29%75%67%71%
Draws50%0%29%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%43%25%33%29%
Melbourne Victory IIWLLDLWD
North Geelong WarriorsWWWLLWW

League goals

Metric Melbourne Victory II North Geelong Warriors
HATHAT
GF total94137613
GF avg2.31.31.91.82.01.9
GA total78156612
GA avg1.82.72.11.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne Victory IINorth Geelong Warriors
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%86%71%
1.571%71%57%57%
2.514%43%29%43%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne Victory IINorth Geelong Warriors
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricMelbourne Victory IINorth Geelong Warriors
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMelbourne Victory IINorth Geelong Warriors
Wins13
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-20-2
Biggest losses—3-11-33-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne Victory IINorth Geelong Warriors
Form36%64%
Att56%44%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h100%0%
Goals78%22%
Total52.6%47.4%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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