Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 09:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 2.10)
1.56 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.2% | 21.0% | 28.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Langwarrin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brunswick City | 0 | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Brunswick City carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 114 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Brunswick City -31.7, Langwarrin -13.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Brunswick City
vs
Langwarrin
Elo gapBrunswick City +114
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo2907.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2907.7
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Brunswick City | Langwarrin |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1493.2 | 1414.5 |
| Form Elo | 1469 | 1396.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1508 | 1460.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1572.3 | 1480.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1426.4 | 1328.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -31.7 | -13.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Brunswick City last-5 Elo change: -31.7; Langwarrin last-5 Elo change: -13.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Brunswick City | Langwarrin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 43% | 48% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Brunswick City | Langwarrin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 11% | 25% | 40% | 33% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 56% | 50% | 60% | 56% |
Brunswick CityLLWDWLLLW
LangwarrinLWLLDLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Brunswick City | Langwarrin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 14 | 7 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Brunswick City | Langwarrin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 89% | 78% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 89% | 33% | 78% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 44% | 22% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 11% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Brunswick City | Langwarrin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Brunswick City | Langwarrin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Brunswick City | Langwarrin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Brunswick City | Langwarrin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 48% | 52% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ Betfair
Away3.60 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.34 @ Betano
No2.95 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
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