North Sunshine Eagles vs Bulleen Lions

Victoria NPL 2 — Australia

Sat, May 2 2026 • 05:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

North Sunshine Eagles

—

Bulleen Lions

Expected Goals

1.29 (league 2.10) 3.32 (league 1.46)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
10.9%	12.7%	64.3%

best score tips

1 - 3

7.8%

1 - 2

7.1%

1 - 4

6.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Bulleen Lions
		0	1	2	3	4	5
North Sunshine Eagles	0	1.0%	3.3%	5.5%	6.1%	5.0%	3.3%
	1	1.3%	4.3%	7.1%	7.8%	6.5%	4.3%
	2	0.8%	2.8%	4.6%	5.1%	4.2%	2.8%
	3	0.4%	1.2%	2.0%	2.2%	1.8%	1.2%
	4	0.1%	0.4%	0.6%	0.7%	0.6%	0.4%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: North Sunshine Eagles -14.1, Bulleen Lions +51.4.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

North Sunshine Eagles Elo 1463.7 · -14.1

Bulleen Lions Elo 1484 · +51.4

Elo gapNorth Sunshine Eagles +15

Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%

Expected home share52%

Combined Elo2947.7

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2947.7

Elo home share 52%

Match tone Upset Watch

Metric	North Sunshine Eagles	Bulleen Lions
Overall Elo	1463.7	1484
Form Elo	1443.7	1501.5
Home / Away Elo	1534.2	1482.5
Attack Elo	1586.6	1488
Defense Elo	1425.4	1494.9
Last 5 Elo change	-14.1	+51.4

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. North Sunshine Eagles last-5 Elo change: -14.1; Bulleen Lions last-5 Elo change: +51.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	North Sunshine Eagles	Bulleen Lions
Played	5	5
Form	40%	87%
Attack	35%	65%
Defense	47%	88%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	11 \| 2.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	2 \| 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

73%

FT probability

3.5+

52%

FT probability

BTTS

83%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	North Sunshine Eagles			Bulleen Lions
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	3	7	10	5	5	10
Wins	33%	29%	30%	60%	40%	50%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	0%	40%	20%
Loses	67%	71%	70%	40%	20%	30%

North Sunshine EaglesWLLLLLWLLW

Bulleen LionsLWLDLWWWDW

League goals

Metric	North Sunshine Eagles			Bulleen Lions
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	5	10	15	9	9	18
GF avg	1.7	1.4	1.5	1.8	1.8	1.8
GA total	8	13	21	5	8	13
GA avg	2.7	1.9	2.1	1.0	1.6	1.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	North Sunshine Eagles		Bulleen Lions
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	90%	90%	100%	60%
1.5	50%	60%	70%	50%
2.5	10%	40%	10%	20%
3.5	0%	20%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	North Sunshine Eagles			Bulleen Lions
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	3	1	4
Failed to score	0	1	1	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	North Sunshine Eagles	Bulleen Lions
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	0

Streaks

Metric	North Sunshine Eagles	Bulleen Lions
Wins	1	3
Draws	0	1
Losses	5	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	1-0	1-2	3-0	0-2
Biggest losses	1-4	3-2	1-3	3-1
Goals For	3	2	3	2
Goals Against	4	3	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	North Sunshine Eagles	Bulleen Lions
Form	32%	68%
Att	35%	65%
Def	18%	82%
Poisson Distribution	30%	70%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	30%	70%
Total	32.5%	67.5%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • North Sunshine Eagles vs Bulleen Lions

Metric	North Sunshine Eagles	Bulleen Lions
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	0