Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 01:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.46) 0.96 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.8% 27.2% 25.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Matagalpa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Managua 0 9.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.7% 6.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 8.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManaguaMatagalpa
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack25%19%
Defense75%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Managua Matagalpa
HATHAT
Played141428121325
Wins64%36%50%33%38%36%
Draws21%14%18%17%38%28%
Loses14%50%32%50%23%36%

Form: Managua: WLDWLWWWLDWWWWLWWDWLDLLWDWLL • Matagalpa: WWLDLWLDLDLWWDWLWWLWLDDDL

League goals

Metric Managua Matagalpa
HATHAT
GF total241640171633
GF avg1.71.11.41.41.21.3
GA total111223191635
GA avg0.80.90.81.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManaguaMatagalpa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%61%76%72%
1.539%21%40%52%
2.518%0%12%12%
3.511%0%4%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManaguaMatagalpa
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411437
Failed to score268336

Penalties

MetricManaguaMatagalpa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricManaguaMatagalpa
Wins42
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-54-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-43-0
Goals For4542
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricManaguaMatagalpa
Form70%30%
Att57%43%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h80%20%
Goals71%29%
Total67.2%32.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Managua or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betfair
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away5.25 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Marathonbet
No2.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.16 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Managua = 1.39 (league 1.46), Matagalpa = 0.96 (league 1.00)

Matagalpa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Managua 0 9.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.7% 6.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 8.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 25.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1