Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 01:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.46) 2.55 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.5% 15.7% 69.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.7%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 3
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Real Estelí
0 1 2 3 4 5
Matagalpa 0 3.3% 8.4% 10.7% 9.1% 5.8% 3.0%
1 2.8% 7.3% 9.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.5%
2 1.2% 3.1% 4.0% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMatagalpaReal Estelí
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack50%83%
Defense58%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Matagalpa Real Estelí
HATHAT
Played121527151429
Wins33%40%37%60%50%55%
Draws17%40%30%27%29%28%
Loses50%20%33%13%21%17%

Form: Matagalpa: WWLDLWLDLDLWWDWLWWLWLDDDLDW • Real Estelí: WDWWWDWLWDDWDLDWWLWLWWWDLWDWW

League goals

Metric Matagalpa Real Estelí
HATHAT
GF total172037282351
GF avg1.41.31.41.91.61.8
GA total191736141327
GA avg1.61.11.30.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMatagalpaReal Estelí
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%70%79%62%
1.541%48%48%24%
2.515%11%28%7%
3.54%4%14%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMatagalpaReal Estelí
HATHAT
Clean sheets4486511
Failed to score336516

Penalties

MetricMatagalpaReal Estelí
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricMatagalpaReal Estelí
Wins23
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-00-4
Biggest losses1-43-00-23-1
Goals For4364
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricMatagalpaReal Estelí
Form38%63%
Att38%63%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total38.2%62.2%

Advice: Winner : Real Estelí

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.33 @ 10Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away1.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Matagalpa = 0.86 (league 1.46), Real Estelí = 2.55 (league 1.00)

Real Estelí
0 1 2 3 4 5
Matagalpa 0 3.3% 8.4% 10.7% 9.1% 5.8% 3.0%
1 2.8% 7.3% 9.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.5%
2 1.2% 3.1% 4.0% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.5% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 69.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1