Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 0.88) 0.37 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 53.6% 22.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
46.5%
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Hadiya Hosaena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ethiopian Medhin 0 46.5% 17.0% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.6% 6.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEthiopian MedhinHadiya Hosaena
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack40%40%
Defense80%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ethiopian Medhin Hadiya Hosaena
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins18%27%23%18%45%32%
Draws45%36%41%36%27%32%
Loses36%36%36%45%27%36%

Form: Ethiopian Medhin: DWDLWLLDWLDLLWDDLDDLWD • Hadiya Hosaena: LDDLDWDLLWWWLDWLLDWLWD

League goals

Metric Ethiopian Medhin Hadiya Hosaena
HATHAT
GF total6101611819
GF avg0.50.90.71.00.70.9
GA total6111714822
GA avg0.51.00.81.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEthiopian MedhinHadiya Hosaena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%64%68%68%
1.518%14%14%27%
2.59%0%5%5%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEthiopian MedhinHadiya Hosaena
HATHAT
Clean sheets538167
Failed to score7512347

Penalties

MetricEthiopian MedhinHadiya Hosaena
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricEthiopian MedhinHadiya Hosaena
Wins13
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-23-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricEthiopian MedhinHadiya Hosaena
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h93%7%
Goals67%33%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ethiopian Medhin or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.75 @ Bet365
Away3.38 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.52 @ Superbet
No1.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ethiopian Medhin = 0.40 (league 0.88), Hadiya Hosaena = 0.37 (league 0.96)

Hadiya Hosaena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ethiopian Medhin 0 46.5% 17.0% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.6% 6.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 53.6% · Away win 22.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1