Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadionul Dinamo
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.71)
0.66 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9% | 20.1% | 11.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Spartanii Selemet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Floreşti | 0 | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Floreşti carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 124 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Floreşti -13.4, Spartanii Selemet +47.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Floreşti
vs
Spartanii Selemet
Elo gapFloreşti +124
Home / draw / away55% / 18% / 27%
Expected home share67%
Combined Elo2901.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2901.4
Elo home share
67%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Floreşti | Spartanii Selemet |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1495.2 | 1406.2 |
| Form Elo | 1491.2 | 1430 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1498.2 | 1449.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1602.1 | 1390.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1297.7 | 1169.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -13.4 | +47.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Floreşti last-5 Elo change: -13.4; Spartanii Selemet last-5 Elo change: +47.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Floreşti | Spartanii Selemet |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 25% | 50% |
| Defense | 56% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Floreşti | Spartanii Selemet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 8% | 29% | 19% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 33% | 23% | 14% | 19% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 69% | 57% | 63% |
FloreştiWDLWLD
Spartanii SelemetLLLLDLLLLLLLLLWLWWLDLLDWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Floreşti | Spartanii Selemet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 37 | 70 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Floreşti | Spartanii Selemet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 56% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 15% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 7% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Floreşti | Spartanii Selemet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Floreşti | Spartanii Selemet |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Floreşti | Spartanii Selemet |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 9 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-8 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Floreşti | Spartanii Selemet |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 51.2% | 48.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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