Tue, Mar 31 2026 • 00:30 •
Allianz Parque
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.62)
1.01 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.1% | 22.5% | 20.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Flamengo W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palmeiras W | 0 | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Flamengo W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 73% |
| Attack | 100% | 77% |
| Defense | 54% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Flamengo W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 80% | 50% | 67% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Palmeiras WWWWWL
Flamengo WWWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Flamengo W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 4.3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Palmeiras W | Flamengo W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Flamengo W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Flamengo W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Flamengo W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Flamengo W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 61.8% | 38.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.36 @ Dafabet
Draw5.00 @ Marathonbet
Away9.18 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ William Hill
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League standings
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