Tue, Mar 31 2026 • 00:00 •
Arena Fonte Luminosa
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.60)
0.64 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.5% | 46.6% | 37.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
38.5%
0 - 1
24.7%
1 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Cruzeiro W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferroviaria W | 0 | 38.5% | 24.7% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ferroviaria W | Cruzeiro W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 73% |
| Attack | 29% | 71% |
| Defense | 71% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ferroviaria W | Cruzeiro W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Ferroviaria WLWWDD
Cruzeiro WWDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Ferroviaria W | Cruzeiro W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ferroviaria W | Cruzeiro W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ferroviaria W | Cruzeiro W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ferroviaria W | Cruzeiro W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ferroviaria W | Cruzeiro W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ferroviaria W | Cruzeiro W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.32 @ Betano
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No1.98 @ Unibet
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League standings
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