Coppa Italia — Italy
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 20:00 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.51) 2.32 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.5% 10.5% 85.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
25.2%
0 - 1
21.7%
0 - 3
19.4%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 9.4% 21.7% 25.2% 19.4% 11.3% 5.2%
1 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioAtalanta
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack25%58%
Defense92%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.57 | 3.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.50 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio Atalanta
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins100%100%100%100%—100%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses0%0%0%0%—0%

Form: Lazio: WW • Atalanta: WW

League goals

Metric Lazio Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total123707
GF avg1.02.01.53.50.03.5
GA total011000
GA avg0.01.00.50.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%0%
1.550%0%100%0%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLazioAtalanta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLazioAtalanta
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-0—
Biggest losses————
Goals For1240
Goals Against0100

Model comparison

MetricLazioAtalanta
Form50%50%
Att30%70%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total37.8%62.3%

Advice: Winner : Atalanta

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ 188Bet
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.60 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.58 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 0.05 (league 1.51), Atalanta = 2.32 (league 0.76)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 9.4% 21.7% 25.2% 19.4% 11.3% 5.2%
1 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.5% · Draw 10.5% · Away win 85.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1